stock earning ER option

Best winner trades by 2017-03-03

Top Expiring Put Gain by 2017-03-03

tick industry acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
BAC Money Center Banks 2017-01-13 2017-03-03 P 23.50 -10000 15859 1120000 1.12 0.01 99.11 1110000.00
DLTR Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-27 2017-03-03 P 74.00 -6000 7073 660000 1.10 0.13 88.18 582000.00
C Money Center Banks 2017-02-14 2017-03-03 P 60.00 -3000 5565 318000 1.06 0.01 99.06 315000.00
PCLN Business Services 2017-02-08 2017-03-03 P 1580.00 -75 364 311250 41.50 0.03 99.93 311025.00
PCLN Business Services 2017-02-08 2017-03-03 P 1580.00 -75 364 310500 41.40 0.03 99.93 310275.00
TSLA Auto Manufacturers – Major 2017-02-01 2017-03-03 P 245.00 -183 4344 166530 9.10 0.01 99.89 166347.00
PCLN Business Services 2017-02-14 2017-03-03 P 1700.00 -20 1175 164000 82.00 0.01 99.99 163980.00
CTSH Business Software & Services 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 P 59.00 -4000 5366 200000 0.50 0.10 80.00 160000.00
TSLA Auto Manufacturers – Major 2017-02-01 2017-03-03 P 245.00 -151 4344 151000 10.00 0.01 99.90 150849.00
MBLY Application Software 2017-02-21 2017-03-03 P 45.50 -1147 2622 160580 1.40 0.10 92.86 149110.00
TSLA Auto Manufacturers – Major 2017-01-31 2017-03-03 P 240.00 -200 6787 143000 7.15 0.01 99.86 142800.00
BAC Money Center Banks 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 P 24.50 -2500 14725 140000 0.56 0.01 98.21 137500.00
DLTR Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-27 2017-03-03 P 72.50 -2250 2369 146250 0.65 0.11 83.08 121500.00
WMT Discount, Variety Stores 2017-01-24 2017-03-03 P 68.50 -480 848 120000 2.50 0.01 99.60 119520.00
AVGO Semiconductor – Broad Line 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 P 212.50 -225 786 109125 4.85 0.02 99.59 108675.00

Top Expiring ETF Put Gain by 2017-03-03

tick acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
SPX 2017-01-13 2017-03-03 P 2175.00 -13458 21821 15476700 11.50 0.05 99.57 15409410.00
SPX 2017-02-01 2017-03-03 P 2250.00 -1000 20707 1680000 16.80 0.03 99.82 1677000.00
IWM 2017-02-01 2017-03-03 P 134.00 -8500 12530 1530000 1.80 0.02 98.89 1513000.00
SPX 2017-01-12 2017-03-03 P 2075.00 -2754 7804 1487160 5.40 0.05 99.07 1473390.00
SPY 2017-02-07 2017-03-03 P 229.50 -5760 25638 1192320 2.07 0.01 99.52 1186560.00
SPX 2017-02-02 2017-03-03 P 2200.00 -1389 20258 1166760 8.40 0.05 99.40 1159815.00
SPX 2017-01-31 2017-03-03 P 2125.00 -2600 18600 1170000 4.50 0.05 98.89 1157000.00
IWM 2017-02-06 2017-03-03 P 134.00 -5000 12530 775000 1.55 0.02 98.71 765000.00
NDX 2017-02-01 2017-03-03 P 4925.00 -440 541 748000 17.00 4.15 75.59 565400.00
XLE 2017-02-23 2017-03-03 P 70.50 -18000 19200 468000 0.26 0.01 96.15 450000.00
SPX 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 P 2250.00 -2000 20707 450000 2.25 0.03 98.67 444000.00
SPY 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 P 235.00 -5000 81266 420000 0.84 0.01 98.81 415000.00
XLI 2017-01-31 2017-03-03 P 63.00 -5000 5081 400000 0.80 0.02 97.50 390000.00
SPY 2017-01-17 2017-03-03 P 220.00 -2457 35527 385749 1.57 0.01 99.36 383292.00
SPY 2017-02-23 2017-03-03 P 235.00 -4500 81266 342000 0.76 0.01 98.68 337500.00

Top Expiring Call Gain by 2017-03-03

tick industry acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
COST Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-10 2017-03-03 C 175.00 -5800 6887 806200 1.39 0.01 99.28 800400.00
TWTR Internet Information Providers 2017-02-08 2017-03-03 C 17.00 -3153 16854 655824 2.08 0.01 99.52 652671.00
AVGO Semiconductor – Broad Line 2017-02-27 2017-03-03 C 220.00 -2500 4184 412500 1.65 0.02 98.79 407500.00
TGT Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 65.50 -2000 2425 384000 1.92 0.01 99.48 382000.00
DLTR Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-27 2017-03-03 C 85.00 -4000 5253 400000 1.00 0.05 95.00 380000.00
TGT Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 66.50 -2000 2831 280000 1.40 0.01 99.29 278000.00
TSLA Auto Manufacturers – Major 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 C 255.00 -101 5331 261691 25.91 0.01 99.96 261590.00
HES Independent Oil & Gas 2017-01-20 2017-03-03 C 60.50 -1421 1654 252938 1.78 0.01 99.44 251517.00
M Department Stores 2017-02-13 2017-03-03 C 32.00 -1250 2693 250000 2.00 0.02 99.00 247500.00
M Department Stores 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 C 32.00 -1250 2693 228750 1.83 0.02 98.91 226250.00
WYNN Resorts & Casinos 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 C 100.00 -2370 2938 438450 1.85 1.01 45.41 199080.00
WDC Data Storage Devices 2017-02-10 2017-03-03 C 77.00 -1058 4206 246514 2.33 0.51 78.11 192556.00
UNP Railroads 2017-02-21 2017-03-03 C 110.00 -1265 2332 170775 1.35 0.01 99.26 169510.00
FB Internet Information Providers 2017-01-26 2017-03-03 C 142.00 -1197 1648 161595 1.35 0.01 99.26 160398.00
CVX Major Integrated Oil & Gas 2017-01-20 2017-03-03 C 118.00 -1148 1428 163016 1.42 0.03 97.89 159572.00

Top Expiring ETF Call Gain by 2017-03-03

tick acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
SPX 2017-03-02 2017-03-03 C 2370.00 -5000 24951 8600000 17.20 8.50 50.58 4350000.00
SPX 2017-03-02 2017-03-03 C 2375.00 -5000 7070 6500000 13.00 7.00 46.15 3000000.00
SPX 2017-01-10 2017-03-03 C 2400.00 -2752 12351 522880 1.90 0.05 97.37 509120.00
GDX 2017-02-03 2017-03-03 C 22.50 -2084 8307 464732 2.23 0.01 99.55 462648.00
SPX 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 2380.00 -2500 9484 850000 3.40 1.80 47.06 400000.00
VXX 2017-01-24 2017-03-03 C 28.00 -12698 28687 355544 0.28 0.01 96.43 342846.00
SPX 2017-01-12 2017-03-03 C 2400.00 -1377 12351 234090 1.70 0.05 97.06 227205.00
GDX 2017-02-08 2017-03-03 C 22.50 -600 8307 186000 3.10 0.01 99.68 185400.00
XRT 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 C 44.50 -3750 5369 187500 0.50 0.02 96.00 180000.00
GDX 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 C 23.00 -5609 23534 179488 0.32 0.01 96.88 173879.00
NDX 2017-03-01 2017-03-03 C 5360.00 -48 541 178080 37.10 4.15 88.81 158160.00
SPY 2017-03-01 2017-03-03 C 237.50 -2500 14802 385000 1.54 0.93 39.61 152500.00
SPY 2017-03-01 2017-03-03 C 237.50 -2500 14802 375000 1.50 0.93 38.00 142500.00
VXX 2017-01-24 2017-03-03 C 28.00 -5000 28687 140000 0.28 0.01 96.43 135000.00
TLT 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 C 119.00 -500 2001 140000 2.80 0.15 94.64 132500.00

Top loss trades last week

Top Expiring Call Loss by 2017-03-03

tick industry acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
AAPL Electronic Equipment 2017-02-10 2017-03-03 C 129.00 -1492 5917 581880 3.90 10.71 -174.62 -1016052.00
AAPL Electronic Equipment 2017-02-10 2017-03-03 C 129.00 -1320 5917 514800 3.90 10.71 -174.62 -898920.00
AMZN Catalog & Mail Order Houses 2017-01-19 2017-03-03 C 807.50 -305 868 937875 30.75 41.90 -36.26 -340075.00
CSCO Networking & Communication Devic 2017-01-19 2017-03-03 C 31.50 -1100 1894 26400 0.24 2.79 -1062.50 -280500.00
BAC Money Center Banks 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 24.00 -2475 7330 84150 0.34 1.45 -326.47 -274725.00
PCLN Business Services 2017-02-16 2017-03-03 C 1650.00 -60 447 252000 42.00 84.97 -102.31 -257820.00
LOW Home Improvement Stores 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 C 74.00 -480 814 108000 2.25 7.18 -219.11 -236640.00
PFE Drug Manufacturers – Major 2017-01-18 2017-03-03 C 33.00 -1970 2587 59100 0.30 1.50 -400.00 -236400.00
AAPL Electronic Equipment 2017-02-27 2017-03-03 C 136.00 -1000 6651 130000 1.30 3.65 -180.77 -235000.00
BAC Money Center Banks 2017-01-31 2017-03-03 C 23.00 -1100 1683 51700 0.47 2.50 -431.91 -223300.00
BAC Money Center Banks 2017-01-18 2017-03-03 C 23.00 -1100 1683 63800 0.58 2.50 -331.03 -211200.00
AAPL Electronic Equipment 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 C 136.00 -960 6651 143040 1.49 3.65 -144.97 -207360.00
PFE Drug Manufacturers – Major 2017-01-18 2017-03-03 C 33.00 -1714 2587 54848 0.32 1.50 -368.75 -202252.00
BAC Money Center Banks 2017-01-31 2017-03-03 C 23.00 -1000 1683 49000 0.49 2.50 -410.20 -201000.00
ATVI Multimedia & Graphics Software 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 C 45.00 -2367 4710 260370 1.10 1.86 -69.09 -179892.00

Top Expiring ETF Call Loss by 2017-03-03

tick acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
SPX 2017-02-09 2017-03-03 C 2300.00 -1712 13577 2739200 16.00 82.55 -415.94 -11393360.00
SPX 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 2360.00 -10000 16369 10700000 10.70 21.50 -100.93 -10800000.00
SPX 2017-02-09 2017-03-03 C 2300.00 -1500 13577 2400000 16.00 82.55 -415.94 -9982500.00
SPX 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 2370.00 -20000 24951 12600000 6.30 8.50 -34.92 -4400000.00
SPX 2017-02-01 2017-03-03 C 2350.00 -1000 32183 185000 1.85 31.26 -1589.73 -2941000.00
SPX 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 2360.00 -2500 16369 2675000 10.70 21.50 -100.93 -2700000.00
SPY 2017-02-16 2017-03-03 C 233.00 -5699 10237 1647011 2.89 5.52 -91.00 -1498837.00
SPX 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 2370.00 -5000 24951 3150000 6.30 8.50 -34.92 -1100000.00
SPY 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 C 234.50 -6600 18813 1584000 2.40 3.98 -65.83 -1042800.00
SPY 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 C 234.50 -5500 18813 1171500 2.13 3.98 -86.85 -1017500.00
QQQ 2017-02-14 2017-03-03 C 129.00 -7000 10173 497000 0.71 2.01 -183.10 -910000.00
SPX 2017-03-03 2017-03-03 C 2375.00 -2500 7070 925000 3.70 7.00 -89.19 -825000.00
SPY 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 C 236.00 -4762 16215 447628 0.94 2.45 -160.64 -719062.00
SPY 2017-02-21 2017-03-03 C 232.50 -3375 6504 1343250 3.98 5.98 -50.25 -675000.00
SPX 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 C 2365.00 -750 4675 750000 10.00 17.85 -78.50 -588750.00

Top Expiring Put Loss by 2017-03-03

tick industry acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
HPE Diversified Computer Systems 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 P 24.50 -4000 12000 200000 0.50 1.55 -210.00 -420000.00
HPE Diversified Computer Systems 2017-02-17 2017-03-03 P 24.50 -5000 12000 400000 0.80 1.55 -93.75 -375000.00
COST Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 P 172.50 -3000 3809 330000 1.10 2.27 -106.36 -351000.00
COST Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 P 172.50 -3500 3809 455000 1.30 2.27 -74.62 -339500.00
HPE Diversified Computer Systems 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 P 24.50 -3000 12000 225000 0.75 1.55 -106.67 -240000.00
AMD Semiconductor – Broad Line 2017-03-02 2017-03-03 P 15.00 -1739 9727 147815 0.85 1.97 -131.76 -194768.00
TSLA Auto Manufacturers – Major 2017-02-15 2017-03-03 P 280.00 -100 331 122200 12.22 29.95 -145.09 -177300.00
FCX Copper 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 P 14.00 -4500 7361 189000 0.42 0.80 -90.48 -171000.00
FCX Copper 2017-02-21 2017-03-03 P 14.00 -3000 7361 105000 0.35 0.80 -128.57 -135000.00
FCX Copper 2017-02-21 2017-03-03 P 14.00 -2716 7361 100492 0.37 0.80 -116.22 -116788.00
AMD Semiconductor – Broad Line 2017-03-02 2017-03-03 P 14.00 -1039 14448 14546 0.14 0.98 -600.00 -87276.00
FCX Copper 2017-02-21 2017-03-03 P 14.00 -1644 7361 62472 0.38 0.80 -110.53 -69048.00
TGT Discount, Variety Stores 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 P 67.50 -575 584 534750 9.30 10.16 -9.25 -49450.00
FCX Copper 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 P 14.00 -4129 7361 289030 0.70 0.80 -14.29 -41290.00
BAC Money Center Banks 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 P 21.50 -2200 3485 2200 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00

Top Expiring ETF Put Loss by 2017-03-03

tick acqDate expDate corp strike acqVol oi acqVal shortAt lOPrice optionGain totalGain
GDX 2017-02-17 2017-03-03 P 24.00 -1000 3886 27000 0.27 1.69 -525.93 -142000.00
GDX 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 P 23.50 -1270 14978 59690 0.47 1.19 -153.19 -91440.00
GDX 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 P 23.00 -1000 28740 11000 0.11 0.67 -509.09 -56000.00
XLF 2017-02-01 2017-03-03 P 22.50 -1410 53374 21150 0.15 0.40 -166.67 -35250.00
SPY 2017-03-02 2017-03-03 P 239.50 -1000 14406 82000 0.82 1.08 -31.71 -26000.00
XRT 2017-03-03 2017-03-03 P 43.00 -1345 2532 22865 0.17 0.35 -105.88 -24210.00
XRT 2017-02-24 2017-03-03 P 43.00 -1000 2532 17000 0.17 0.35 -105.88 -18000.00
VXX 2017-03-03 2017-03-03 P 19.00 -765 1978 113985 1.49 1.53 -2.68 -3060.00
XME 2017-02-27 2017-03-03 P 31.50 -1000 1516 10000 0.10 0.11 -10.00 -1000.00
QQQ 2017-03-01 2017-03-03 P 124.00 -1100 7534 1100 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
EFA 2017-03-02 2017-03-03 P 59.00 -1395 1646 2790 0.02 0.01 50.00 1395.00
SPY 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 P 223.00 -1400 17765 2800 0.02 0.01 50.00 1400.00
EEM 2017-02-22 2017-03-03 P 37.00 -1500 23364 3000 0.02 0.01 50.00 1500.00
SPY 2017-02-28 2017-03-03 P 223.00 -2050 17765 4100 0.02 0.01 50.00 2050.00
VXX 2017-03-01 2017-03-03 P 17.00 -1183 24665 5915 0.05 0.01 80.00 4732.00

2/23/2017: retail ETF (XRT) update By Seed

Retail ETF XRT got hammered today. Lots of people who owned shares asked for my opinion. I have a position with OTM June $50 call at $0.12 per contract. (a small bet, either big win or a negligible loss) . Let’s look at some technical characters:

The monthly chart is always used for my favorite long term bet because long term decision need long term trend follower
price hold up 50 months MA since Jan 2016 until now. This long term MA get very crucial now. If at the end of this Feb, price cannot hold up, it is indeed a big trouble for this popular ETF.
the monthly chart also forms a big triangle, break down or beak out
the monthly chart also forms a smaller bull flag (too small, I did not draw it)

http://schrts.co/JoK6cX
So what is the take? My personal opinion is that since 2016 this important 50 months MA touched so many times and held up, this time it should hold up again. The reason is simple, the overall big market is still in a bull run market, this particular ETF should not be left out. Again, my personal opinion should not be an advice for any investment purpose.

2/12/2017: gold/silver index update and bull trend forecast

By Seed

The following chart is the gold/silver index vs US dollar chart. Since the index bottom out in Jan 2016, its price move back up violently. It seems the bull trend has already finished the wave 1 up and wave 2 down, is on the way of wave 3 up. The following projection is based on the bull trend (there are definitively some cases that the bull trend need to be scratched)

  • Assume this is a new uptrend with five waves up
  • wave 1: [0.385 , 1.199] (finished)
  • wave 2: [1.199, 0.696] (right on 0.382 fib, finished)
  • wave 3 is projected  [0.696, 1.51] (1.618 fib) or  [0.696, 2.01] (2.618 fib)
  • wave 4’s projection is better to wait for wave 3’s finish
  • same for wave 5’s projection
In what scenario, the bull trend should be scratched?
  • The price break down 0.696, the wave 3 is invalid, then it may be still in the corrective wave of previous down trend from 2011’s top.
  • The price break down 0.385, it is definitely sill in the corrective wave of previous down trend from 2011’s top.
In summary, this future price projection is based on Elliott wave pattern. So far the upo wave 1 and corrective wave 2 are line up for fib retracement. Let’s see how the projected 3rd wave up perform. Usually the 3rd wave up is strongest thrust wave. However, the up wave has smaller sub-waves, do not expect up wave will go up straightly. There will be corrective waves within 3rd wave up. The key is can this 3rd wave up take out wave 1 high 1.199. If not, this bull trend theory is invalid. If yes, stay with your trade on course for the target 1.51 or 2.01. When the 3rd hit the target, wave 4 projection will be updated.