stock earning ER option

Searched on 2019-01-22
finviz dynamic chart for  AAPL

Table: AAPL ER estimates

tick erDate industry marketcapM outstandM floatM competitive value TA FA MFI lastPrice erRange UpTarget DownTarget expectERClose UpLimit DownLimit expectEROpen expectERHigh expectERLow indexMember sd
AAPL 2019-01-29 16:30:00 Electronic Equipment 752985 4770 4740.00 -1.67 0.30 10.50 0.58 -0.16 153.30 7.00 163.15 146.59 154.87 164.84 141.71 155.02 156.70 153.07 SPY,QQQ,DIA,week,penny,naz,oex,sp25,sp50 4.219665

Total 1 records!

Based on AAPL latest PRE-ER price of 153.30, We expect AAPL 2019-01-29 16:30:00 ER result as follow:

Estimated After ER Open Price 155.02, Close Price 154.87, High:156.70, LOW:153.07

Estimated Down Side Target: 146.59 ,Expected Up side Target: 163.15

Estimated Extreme Case range: from 141.71 to 164.84

How to use this information:

Estimated After ER Open Price & after ER Close Price:

If you have no bias about ER result, you can use this as estimates for price range after ER

UpTarget and DownTarget:

The probability that ER price fall into this range is about 80%, if you have an up(or down) side view about this paticular ER, you can use the UpTarget (or DownTarget) to plan your ER directional trade.

UpLimit and DownLimit:

These are price range under the extreme case , use these numbers to calcualte your risk exposure and establish the size of your trade.

Value, TA, FA:

These are the quantified numbers between -10 to 10 to represent the current stock price to value, Financial Analysis, and Technical Analysis scores. Please note there is no direct correlation between those values and Post ER day price range. There are listed for your long term holding reference, also note post ER shocks may dramatically changes a stock’s Value, FA, and TA scores.